{"id":1207,"date":"2007-09-25T19:08:53","date_gmt":"2007-09-25T17:08:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/2007\/09\/25\/how-to-predict-good-research\/"},"modified":"2007-09-25T20:33:10","modified_gmt":"2007-09-25T18:33:10","slug":"how-to-predict-good-research","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/sciencesurf\/2007\/09\/how-to-predict-good-research\/","title":{"rendered":"How to predict good research"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It is difficult if not impossible to foresee future research results. I am sharing the belief with many other colleagues that grant applications are largely a waste of time (in particular if most applications fail). A recent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v448\/n7149\/full\/448022a.html\">correspondence letter in Nature<\/a> applauds<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nOne obvious solution is to put more money into the system&#8230; Another suggestion is to change the system for submitting and assessing applications, placing more of the onus on the universities, perhaps via a quota system for applications. A third is to weight the system more in favour of applicants&#8217; published track record and less in favour of the proposed science (with a special track for first-time applicants).\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Taking the last argument seriously, I wonder if there has been ever meta-socio-science studies looking at the individual output?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/09\/pubfreq.png\" title='' data-rel=\"key-image-0\" data-rl_title=\"\" data-rl_caption=\"\"><img src='https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/09\/pubfreq.png' alt='pubfreq.png' \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Just counting papers and impact will not be sufficient. Type &#8220;B&#8221; research (>10 papers\/year) is a highly dangerous habit if not caused by a truly ingenious spirit as well as type &#8220;D&#8221; research (who just know how to let others work for them). Yea, yea.<\/p>\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"bottom-note\">\n  <span class=\"mod1\">CC-BY-NC Science Surf , accessed 12.04.2026<\/span>\n <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It is difficult if not impossible to foresee future research results. I am sharing the belief with many other colleagues that grant applications are largely a waste of time (in particular if most applications fail). A recent correspondence letter in Nature applauds &nbsp; CC-BY-NC Science Surf , accessed 12.04.2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophy-of-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1207","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1207"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1207\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}