{"id":1227,"date":"2007-09-28T22:51:05","date_gmt":"2007-09-28T20:51:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/2007\/09\/28\/unwillingness-to-face-reality\/"},"modified":"2007-10-03T18:48:19","modified_gmt":"2007-10-03T16:48:19","slug":"unwillingness-to-face-reality","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/sciencesurf\/2007\/09\/unwillingness-to-face-reality\/","title":{"rendered":"Unwillingness to face reality"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.edge.org\/documents\/archive\/edge224.html#kahneman\">The most recent Edge issue<\/a> cites<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230; Kahneman&#8217;s view that &#8220;the administration&#8217;s unwillingness to face reality in Iraq reflects a basic human aversion to cutting one&#8217;s losses\u00e2\u20ac\u201dthe same instinct that makes gamblers stay at the table, hoping to break even.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>as well as another one of Kahneman&#8217;s ideas<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Why Hawks Win&#8221; was published in Foreign Policy (January\/February 2007); Kahneman points out that the answer may lie deep in the human mind. People have dozens of decision-making biases, and almost all favor conflict rather than concession. The article takes a look at why the tough guys win more than they should.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Fortunately, the &#8220;hawks win&#8221; article is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.foreignpolicy.com\/story\/cms.php?story_id=3660\">open to the world<\/a> &#8212; highly interesting also for those interested in science sociology. I believe that 80% of scientists asked probable think they believe to perform better than average (although only 50% can do ;-)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/09\/img001816b.png\" title='' data-rel=\"key-image-0\" data-rl_title=\"\" data-rl_caption=\"\"><img src='https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/09\/img001816b.png' alt='img001816b.png' \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The photo above was taken 1992 in Jaipur \/ India &#8211; it shows the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.indiasite.com\/rajasthan\/jaipur\/hawamahal.html\">Hawa Mahal<\/a> &#8220;Palace of Winds&#8221; constructed for the royal ladies of the court, most likely a viewing gallery. The building seen here from the front is just a fa\u00c3\u00a7ade &#8212; as can be seen <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tropicalisland.de\/india\/rajasthan\/jaipur\/pages\/JAI%20Jaipur%20-%20Hawa%20Mahal%20or%20Palace%20of%20the%20Winds%203008x2000.html\">from another photo on the net<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"bottom-note\">\n  <span class=\"mod1\">CC-BY-NC Science Surf , accessed 24.04.2026<\/span>\n <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The most recent Edge issue cites &#8230; Kahneman&#8217;s view that &#8220;the administration&#8217;s unwillingness to face reality in Iraq reflects a basic human aversion to cutting one&#8217;s losses\u00e2\u20ac\u201dthe same instinct that makes gamblers stay at the table, hoping to break even.&#8221; as well as another one of Kahneman&#8217;s ideas &nbsp; CC-BY-NC Science Surf , accessed 24.04.2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1227","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophy-of-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1227","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1227"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1227\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1227"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1227"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1227"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}