{"id":2034,"date":"2009-02-24T14:41:30","date_gmt":"2009-02-24T12:41:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/?p=2034"},"modified":"2009-03-10T15:07:07","modified_gmt":"2009-03-10T13:07:07","slug":"is-the-nobel-prize-predictable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/sciencesurf\/2009\/02\/is-the-nobel-prize-predictable\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Nobel prize predictable?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>To be a Nobel candidate may be predictable if I am reading correctly a <a href=\"http:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/0901.2640\">paper on archiv.org<\/a>. The &#8220;traditional&#8221; impact factor is largely useless <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nas it ignores the importance of citing papers: a citation from an obscure paper is given the same weight as a citation from a ground-breaking and highly cited work\n <\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It may be, however, that the (PageRank derived) CiteRank is holding some promises &#8211; giving weight by whom you are cited. In this case, even a 100 citation paper can lead to a Nobel prize.<br \/>\nBut is it predictable to get a  Nobel prize candidate? Certainly not. I agree with a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nrd\/journal\/v4\/n5\/full\/nrd1747.html\">news<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/2009\/090304\/full\/458022a.html\"> feature<\/a> about a science manager who<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nrecently read Outliers, a book in which Malcolm Gladwell makes the case that<br \/>\nexceptional people get where they are partly because of the exceptional circumstances in which they find themselves, rather than through exceptional ability or sheer hard work.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Yea, yea.<\/p>\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"bottom-note\">\n  <span class=\"mod1\">CC-BY-NC Science Surf , accessed 08.04.2026<\/span>\n <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To be a Nobel candidate may be predictable if I am reading correctly a paper on archiv.org. The &#8220;traditional&#8221; impact factor is largely useless as it ignores the importance of citing papers: a citation from an obscure paper is given the same weight as a citation from a ground-breaking and highly cited work It may &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/sciencesurf\/2009\/02\/is-the-nobel-prize-predictable\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Is the Nobel prize predictable?<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,5],"tags":[2381,155,2380],"class_list":["post-2034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-joke-fun","category-philosophy-of-science","tag-ground-breaking","tag-nobel-prize","tag-obscure-paper"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2034","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2034"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2034\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2080,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2034\/revisions\/2080"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2034"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2034"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wjst.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2034"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}