Annals of Internal Medicine has a disturbing article from a sample of US sample of 522 American Statistical Association members.
The 4 most frequently reported inappropriate requests … by at least 20% of the respondents were …
* removing or altering some data records to better support the research hypothesis
* interpreting the statistical findings on the basis of expectation, not actual results
* not reporting the presence of key missing data that might bias the results
* and ignoring violations of assumptions that would change results from positive to negative.
Finally in 1887 and 1888 the scientific problem [radio/wireless] still remaining- the detection and demonstration of the electromagnetic waves which are the carriers of wireless signals -was solved by Heinrich Hertz, a worker in Helmholtz’s laboratory in Berlin. Neither Maxwell nor Hertz had any concern about the utility of their work; no such thought ever entered their minds. They had no practical objective. The inventor in the legal sense was of course Marconi, but what did Marconi invent? Merely the last technical detail, mainly the now obsolete receiving device called coherer, almost universally discarded.”
Ein handschriftlicher Sinnspruch des Physik-Genies Albert Einstein ist für mehr als 1,5 Millionen Dollar versteigert worden. Ein Europäer erstand den Zettel am Dienstag bei der Auktion in Jerusalem, wie das Auktionshaus Winner’s mitteilte. Einstein hatte das Blatt Papier einem Dienstboten in Japan vor fast 100 Jahren zugesteckt, möglicherweise als eine Art Trinkgeld.
The NYT has a disturbing story about Alex Honnold. What if he falls?
Alex Honnold, 33, is the world’s foremost free soloist. To “free solo” means to climb without ropes or any safety gear. Mr. Honnold began climbing without ropes as a teenager. As he got better at climbing on his own, his aspirations and goals grew bigger. For years, he had his eye on free soloing the 3,000-foot peak of Yosemite’s El Capitan. In 2017, he decided to go for it, a superhuman accomplishment that makes up the arc of our new feature film, “Free Solo.”
How free solo looks like
and Honnold’s comments
What is the difference between the average attention seeker and Honnold? nautil.us/issue/39/ has an answer showing results of a MRI scan
Purl scrolls down, down, through the Rorschach topography of Honnold’s brain, until, with the suddenness of a photo bomb, a pair of almond-shaped nodes materialize out of the morass. “He has one!” says Joseph, and Purl laughs. […]
Inside the tube, Honnold is looking at a series of about 200 images that flick past at the speed of channel surfing. The photographs are meant to disturb or excite. “At least in non-Alex people, these would evoke a strong response in the amygdala,” says Joseph. “I can’t bear to look at some of them, to be honest.” […] “Nowhere, at a decent threshold, was there amygdala activation”
After having watched nowthe excellent National Geographic documentary, I do not believe so much in an anatomical curiosity. As his father was suffering to Asperger (according to his mother in the movie) I think the key is more with some unsual development combined with some excellent extrapyramidal reactions.
all this has given rise to a new breed: the Depressed Former Internet Optimist (DFIO). Everything from public apologies by figures in the technology industry to informal chatter in conference hallways suggests it’s become very hard to find an internet Optimist in the old, classic vein. There are now only Optimists-in-retreat, Optimists-in-doubt, or Optimists-hedging-their-bets.
and continues
Many Optimists believed that the structure of the internet by itself—manifested in collaborative projects such as wikis or crowdfunding—would bend social outcomes in their favor. One response to the events of 2016 has been to revisit this assumption, claiming that while the basics might have been right, more work is needed to realize the original vision.
So may I add here an advertisement of Tim Berner-Lee’s Solid project operating Inrupt?
Imagine if all your current apps talked to each other, collaborating and conceiving ways to enrich and streamline your personal life and business objectives? That’s the kind of innovation, intelligence and creativity Solid apps will generate.
I am currently reading the cognitive bias literature to explain some phenomenon when discovering the “women are wonderful” effect.
The women-are-wonderful effect is the phenomenon found in psychological and sociological research which suggests that people associate more positive attributes with women compared to men. This bias reflects an emotional bias toward women as a general case. The phrase was coined by Alice Eagly and Antonio Mladinic in 1994 after finding that both male and female participants tend to assign positive traits to women, with female participants showing a far more pronounced bias.
Die FAZ hat die Details, hier ist die subjektive Zusammenfassung des Buches von Georg Steiner.
1. An den entscheidenden Fragen scheitern wir.
2. Das Denken ist zu ungeordnet,
3. zu repetitiv und zu selten innovativ
4. und zuwenig interesselos.
5. Das unbeachtete Denkens frustriert,
6. Hoffnungen werden enttäuscht.
7. Denken stösst immer wieder an Barrieren,
8. es trennt uns vom Nächsten,
9. geht in der Masse unter
10. und kann nicht wirklich seinen eigenen Tod denken.
A disturbingly large portion of papers—about 2%—contain “problematic” scientific images that experts readily identified as deliberately manipulated, according to a study of 20,000 papers published in mBio in 2016 by Elisabeth Bik of Stanford University in Palo Alto, California, and colleagues. What’s more, our analysis showed that most of the 12,000 journals recorded in Clarivate’s widely used Web of Science database of scientific articles have not reported a single retraction since 2003.
Most journals that I am reading, are never retracting a paper. So the whole Science statistics are flawed.
I would like to rewrite a text I have seen initially at fstoppers.com.
In his book Civilization, Niall Ferguson wrote a damning indictment of contemporary life. It’s a paradox, he suggests, “that an economic system designed to offer infinite choice to the individual has ended up homogenising humanity.” Never before in human history have so many people worked so hard to establish themselves as top scientists through exactly the same means: using near-identical technology, writing the same grant applications and producing as many mediocre papers as possible.
https://www.instagram.com/p/Bo3BHvZFWpe/?taken-by=insta_repeat
Geoffrey R. Loftus in Behavior Research Methods, Instruments, & Computers 1993, 25 (2), 25() 256
Hypothesis testing, while by far the most common statistical technique for generating conclusions from data, is nonetheless not very informative. It emphasizes a banal and confusing question (“Is it true that some set of population means are not all identical to one another?”) whose answer is, in a mathematical sense, almost inevitably known (“No”). Hypothesis testing, as it is customarily implemented, ignores two issues that are generally much more interesting, important, and relevant: What is thepattern of population means over conditions, and what are the magnitudes of various variability measures (e.g., standard errors of the mean, estimates of population standard deviations)?
so auch in G. Lind “Effektstärken: Statistische, praktische und theoretische Bedeutsamkeit empirischer Befunde”, Privatdruck 2012
Was aber selten (viel zu selten!) in Erwägung gezogen wird, ist die Möglichkeit, Befunde auf ihre theoretische, inhaltliche Bedeut- samkeit hin zu untersuchen: Welche Wertedifferenz ist für unser subjektives Empfinden und unsere Handlungen bedeutsam? Ab welcher Effektstärke können wir davon sprechen, dass eine Therapie- methode oder eine pädagogische Intervention wirklich etwas bringen und den Aufwand lohnen, den alle Beteiligten investieren müssen? Tritt der Effekt immer oder nur unter bestimmten Bedingungen auf? Ist er an Besonderheiten der Studie (Umfang des Samples, Streuung der unabhängigen Variablen) gebunden? Passt der Effekt zu dem, was wir bereits über die Variablen wissen, die wir untersuchen, oder stellt er fundiert geglaubte Theorien in Frage?
The fascination of what’s difficult
Has dried the sap out of my veins, and rent
Spontaneous joy and natural content
Out of my heart. There’s something ails our colt
That must, as if it had not holy blood
Nor on Olympus leaped from cloud to cloud,
Shiver under the lash, strain, sweat and jolt
As though it dragged road metal. My curse on plays
That have to be set up in fifty ways,
On the day’s war with every knave and dolt,
Theatre business, management of men.
I swear before the dawn comes round again
I’ll find the stable and pull out the bolt.
Der DHV berichtet in seinem neuesten Newsletter 10/2018, dass Wissenschaftler die Zusammenarbeit mit Springer Nature abbrechen
Aus Protest gegen die Einschränkung der Wissenschaftsfreiheit haben die Professorinnen Madeleine Herren-Oesch und Barbara Mittler sowie die Professoren Thomas Maissen, Joseph Maran, Axel Michaels und Rudolf Wagner die Zusammenarbeit mit dem Wissenschaftsverlag Springer Nature aufgekündigt. Die Herausgeberinnen und Herausgeber der Buchreihe “Transcultural Research”, die im Umfeld des Exzellenz-Clusters “Asien und Europa” an der Universität Heidelberg beheimatet ist, werfen dem Verlag vorauseilenden Gehorsam vor der chinesischen Zensur vor. Das berichten die “FAZ” und die “Neue Zürcher Zeitung”.
Springer Nature hatte im November 2017 regierungskritische Inhalte von seiner chinesischen Webseite entfernt und mehr als tausend Publikationen aus dem Angebot genommen (vgl. Newsletter 11/2017), ohne die Autorinnen und Autoren vor der Löschung zu unterrichten. Rechtliche Zwänge, die der Verlag einzuhalten vorgebe, um weitestgehenden Zugang zu seinen Publikationen zu ermöglichen, existieren nach Ansicht der Wissenschaftlerinnen und Wisssenschaftler nicht.
In the year 1930, John Maynard Keynes predicted that technology would have advanced sufficiently by century’s end that countries like Great Britain or the United States would achieve a 15-hour work week.[…]
Why did Keynes’ promised utopia – still being eagerly awaited in the ‘60s – never materialise? […]
The standard line today is that he didn’t figure in the massive increase in consumerism.[…]
I am not sure how consumerism translates into science. Is it the mass production of papers? Papers that are never read? Pointless jobs also have massively increased in the science industry basically with all the pointless competition being preached every day.
Over the course of the last century, the number of workers employed as domestic servants, in industry, and in the farm sector has collapsed dramatically. At the same time, ‘professional, managerial, clerical, sales, and service workers’ tripled, growing ‘from one-quarter to three-quarters of total employment.’ In other words, productive jobs have, just as predicted, been largely automated away […] But rather than allowing a massive reduction of working hours to free the world’s population to pursue their own projects, pleasures, visions, and ideas, we have seen the ballooning of not even so much of the ‘service’ sector as of the administrative sector, up to and including the creation of whole new industries like financial services or telemarketing, or the unprecedented expansion of sectors like corporate law, academic and health administration, human resources, and public relations.
The Atlantic had an interesting article on online gig platforms where you can even buy love letters.
For just $7—$5 plus a $2 service fee charged by Fiverr—Jelena wrote a 200-word love letter for me. It was great: I told her that my fictional paramour and I had been dating for 161 days, and she added up those digits, which equal the number eight, and made a reference to how flipping an “8” on its side would lead to the infinity sign. “I wanna flip that 8 to the left and spend it with you,” she wrote.
You can buy space in a fake journal. But can you buy also research? At least there is some indication of that. Continue reading Ghostwriter→
